Source: News Bharati English04 May 2016 16:25:22

New Delhi, May 4: Centre has assured a fulfilling monsoon in India, marking that by 15th May rainfall will arrival said science and technology minister Harsh Vardhan told the Lok Sabha during Question Hour.

Roughly more than 104% in most parts of the country, except the northeast and with well-distributed rainfall over the country. 
“Climatologically, the monsoon is expected to reach South Kerala either end of May or in the early days of June and a forecast will be issued on 15 May,” he said.

Above Normal rainfall is most likely over some parts of Northwest India and some parts of southeastern Peninsular India. Normal rainfall is most likely over most of the remaining parts of the country.

“During the current year, normal or above normal rainfall has been predicted by many forecasting agencies, including the India Meteorological Department (IMD),” he added.

In April, IMD had said that monsoon rainfall will be 106% of the long period average, with a 94% probability that monsoon will be normal to excess.

The monsoon is considered normal when the rainfall is 96 to 104% of the long period average and is considered above normal when it is 105 to 110%.

Climatological probabilities for most parts of the country except northern parts of the country where below normal is most likely.