Do you want to know who is winning 2019 elections? We have the answer
900 Million voters, 545 seats, a million polling stations, 10 million election officials, 464 parties and a month-long campaign, A veracious festival of democracy on earth is nearing to its end.
Every nook and corner of India has been churned with massive 3000 plus rallies and road shows by political parties. India’s Premier Shri Narendra Modi himself conducted 200 plus rallies. But coming to the end the focus has decisively shifted from “Whether Modi will return to power again” to “Whether BJP alone will secure a simple majority in the House again”.
As of last and 7th phase votes are yet to be cast, confusion has reached to a new level between poll pundits and Psephologists; riddle is “simple and complex” at the same time “Whether MODI wave exists or not?” “Will BJP get a clear majority and Modi will be back as Prime Minister?”
Smart Indian Electorates have decided to confuse all analysis for sure. The last decade has seen a wild variation of vote shifts, particularly for BJP. If we compare 2009 and 2014 elections, BJP’s vote share has increased by more than 10% in 209 constituencies across the nation. This is indeed a very significant swing in the history of elections in India. This swing was concentrated more in the states of UP [64/80 seats], Maharashtra [20/48 seats] Rajasthan [19/25 seats] W. Bengal [21/42] seats, Gujarat [16/26 seats], Madhya Pradesh [18/28 seats] i.e., 158 seats out of 209 were in these 6 states. Out of these 158 seats, 95 seats from UP, Maharashtra, Rajasthan and W. Bengal had the heavy swing of more than 15% in favor of BJP.
The questions one should answer before making accurate prediction are, is Modi wave or the strong undercurrent which is being suggested by so many ground media reports still strong enough so that BJP will retain and increase its vote share? Or will there be a marginal decrease in the BJP strongholds of MP, Rajasthan, Gujarat, and Maharashtra? Is W Bengal moving further in the direction of BJP? Is Odisha going to break the spell of BJD dominance? The outcome of the poll differs wildly depending upon these factors.
Why wait? Let’s Do it
When this election is becoming the nightmare for poll pundits, it is time for readers to step in and make their own predictions. With the interactive map provided above just select the state, adjust the swing factor according to your estimate and save and share your own prediction to your friends on social media.