While projecting 2014 vote share in 2019, Phase 6 may turn out to be determining factor for BJP. This phase will make certain whether BJP will return to the center or not.
In this stage, India voted for 59 seats with 63.49% voter turnout. If we see 2014 numbers; BJP won 41, INC 2, others 7 and SP+BSP+RLD haven’t won a single seat. After inserting 2014 data and 2019 alliances into the interactive map (Please see below) some intriguing facts have come up.
Indian National Congress will maintain its track record with 3 seats; adding one more place to its 2014 tally. In West Bengal BJP is trying to create the ground for the last few years. To reflect Panchayat election success in Lok Sabha; BJP will need at least 20% vote swing in WB and fight is fierce with TMC for sure. In Jharkhand, BJP may lose Giridih and Jamshedpur but may tally it back its seats in Haryana’s Sirsa and Hisar.
To conclude we can say this phase isn’t a cakewalk for BJP unless Modi charisma works.