Karnataka results are out and BJP has been routed in these elections. Suddenly it looks that everything is wrong in BJP and everything is right in Congress. Congress is now prepared to take over the Delhi in 2024 elections. In fact, some of the Congress leaders are saying that since Modi fought Karnataka elections as if he is contesting himself and lost, it is a vote to change the govt in Delhi. It is far from truth. Let us discuss some important lessons.
Modi cannot be a substitute for poor local governance. BJP govt in Karnataka was the worst performer hence lost. However, the most important point to note is that total % of votes remained intact.
However, why BJP vote % did not increase even after so much efforts by Modi. Reason is very simple. State level leadership is absolutely poor and Modi compensated for them to ensure that vote % did not go down. No local leader really emerged other than Yeddyurappa who continued to have love and hate relationship with BJP leadership. However, Congress votes % increased by more than 5%, main transfer took place from JDS. Why this vote transfer took place, because Muslims shifted en mass to Congress after ditching JDS to Congress for the purpose of defeating BJP and they succeeded in their effort.
Is that possible for BJP to get Muslim votes in the near future. It is a remote possibility even though Muslims have taken the significant benefit of govt schemes as BJP claims to go for Sabka Sath and Sabka Vikash.
Muslim consolidated votes for Congress will have a pitfall for Congress in other states as they demand their pound of flesh in Karnataka first and rest of the country later on. Muslim Waqf Board Chairman in Karnataka has asked for Deputy Chief Minister position, five ministers and key ministries like Home for the community as he claims that Muslims helped Congress to win 72 seats in Karnataka. Congress cannot deny this fact .
Now, let us talk of leadership. There are lot of talks of giving the credit to Rahul Gandhi and Gandhi family who hardly played any role. State Congress leadership, Siddaramaiah and DK Shiv Kumar played the main role in Muslim mobilisation for Congress and anti-incumbency factor against BJP govt.
Suddenly everybody is talking about Bajrang Dal. Facts remain that it helped BJP but more than that, it helped Congress consolidating on Muslim votes. Freebies helped Congress in a big way. Unfortunately, it has a big role to play and no political party worries about its consequences on economy of the state.